← ArtofCards PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at ArtofCards PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.5%
avg ELO +7.8 per match
expected value
58.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1295
· range 1295–1295
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1200
Q3 1377
1519
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
